Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 2.109990 2.406661 2.730046 3.108738 3.540102 4.016256 4.581882
2025-09-07 1.624538 2.021258 2.492184 3.092527 3.837915 4.733618 5.892883
2025-09-14 1.337414 1.766556 2.306722 3.036791 3.998647 5.224051 6.906584
2025-09-21 1.146555 1.590599 2.177048 3.008635 4.158913 5.696401 7.912468
2025-09-28 0.995982 1.441791 2.055645 2.963124 4.272582 6.097290 8.840659
2025-10-05 0.949251 1.427641 2.111475 3.160935 4.733847 7.009203 10.562234
2025-10-12 0.863171 1.344221 2.055734 3.185603 4.938734 7.562873 11.804869
2025-10-19 0.811923 1.305902 2.060013 3.296029 5.276445 8.336094 13.443449
2025-10-26 0.738631 1.224413 1.988252 3.277806 5.406980 8.795222 14.623493
2025-11-02 0.676923 1.154515 1.926695 3.267236 5.544186 9.270156 15.863625
2025-11-09 0.613118 1.074292 1.839887 3.204654 5.585874 9.587000 16.860387
2025-11-16 0.574302 1.032547 1.812713 3.239078 5.792470 10.192780 18.400085
2025-11-23 0.534028 0.988193 1.783522 3.279319 6.034957 10.920005 20.297200
2025-11-30 0.487482 0.928444 1.722752 3.259530 6.173194 11.486708 21.984414
2025-12-07 0.441367 0.864051 1.646200 3.200898 6.230467 11.906646 23.433468
2025-12-14 0.404446 0.812966 1.588702 3.171211 6.337301 12.425285 25.119539
2025-12-21 0.369497 0.761845 1.525640 3.123235 6.401635 12.865158 26.690060
2025-12-28 0.366430 0.774409 1.588056 3.331761 6.999268 14.407675 30.650615
2026-01-04 0.344215 0.744976 1.563050 3.357766 7.223303 15.216658 33.165306
2026-01-11 0.332664 0.736787 1.580558 3.474174 7.647818 16.476539 36.765462
2026-01-18 0.309675 0.701373 1.537277 3.454964 7.777085 17.123249 39.088762
2026-01-25 0.289454 0.669990 1.499532 3.443821 7.922171 17.815779 41.581662
2026-02-01 0.266693 0.630506 1.440176 3.377849 7.936347 18.219077 43.450788